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Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Mark's SEC East forecast

It's about that time! Football kicks off the real deal Thursday as fall practices and pre-season NFL gives way to a little college football action. I'm sure we will talk up the games and of course the Razorbacks, but we'll start with the SEC Eastern division. West will be forecast tomorrow, stay tuned (and I'm sure Brad and Shawn will disagree!)


6. Vanderbilt:

The new coach may have made some waves---as well as a few fans--- with his good ole boy routine at SEC media days, but he has lost his best running back to injury and returns a 2-10 team that won no conference games in 2009. Expect more of the same in '10.

5. Tennessee:

Derek Dooley's Vols will look a lot different that Lane Kiffin's squad, as highly touted running back Bryce Brown has bolted for Kansas State and several others have found themselves on the wrong side of the law. Eventually, I'm sure Dooley will field a quality team, but this year, they won't get to .500.

4. Kentucky:

Is there a theme developing? The bottom three teams all breaking in new coaches means growing pains and lots of L's. Joker Phillips will struggle through the SEC, although they have a favorable road schedule, with trips to Gainesville, Oxford, Starkville and Knoxville. Not to say they will win any of those, but they do get Auburn, Georgia, South Carolina and Vanderbilt at home.

3. South Carolina:

Too many people are picking the Gamecocks as SEC favorites for my liking. So let's look at this logically. Who is their QB? Stephen Garcia. Coach Spurrier doesn't even like him! How about their offensive line? Spurrier bad-mouthed them at SEC media days as well, worried they wouldn't be up to the job either. What about their stud player? Alshon Jeffery aside, Weslye Saunders may be the best target SC has, and he has lied his way into the doghouse too, earning an indefinite suspension. What part of this team is appealing?

2. Georgia:

I am not overly excited about the Bulldogs this season (as a Hog fan, that is impossible anyway) because they are once again breaking in a new QB. Last year Arkansas got a first-hand look at Joe Cox, as they made him look like Peyton Manning in Fayetteville. I'm not predicting the Ark-Georgia game here, but lets just say I don't expect another 50-point outburst from the 'Dogs against the Hogs. They are here based mostly on attrition. I don't like anyone else already mentioned to be better, so an 8-4 or 9-3 Georgia team will land at #2 in 2010.

1. Florida:

And the Gator train keeps on rolling. I have little doubt in my mind about this one. Florida may be better this year than last, as crazy as this sounds. Tim Tebow is a college legend, but Urban Meyer's system was almost totally shaped around his talents---and shortcomings---during his tenure. Insert John Brantley, after waiting his turn Brantley is ready to take the reigns and roll, and there are several reasons I think they won't miss a beat. For all the reasons I don't like South Carolina, I like Florida. Brantley's skills will be utilized in Meyer's system, the offensive line is loaded with blue-chip talent (like everywhere else. When you sign a top-3 class every year, it tends to be that way) and the next wave of skill players are itching for their chance. Youth should not be a problem, besides, we've seen this before. Tebow and Percy Harvin didn't have much of an impact their freshmen year, did they? I see absolutely no way the Gators fail to return to Atlanta this year for the SEC championship game, even if their October 2 trip to Tuscaloosa results in a loss. It will be their only one until the SEC-CG, and we will cross that bridge when we get there.

Can't give away all the predictions yet, so stay tuned!

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